AFFL WEEK 13 Playoff Scenarios: 2 Divisions and Three Playoff Seeds up for Grabs
Raffi Lalazarian
It has come down to this. One week, eight teams, three playoff spots, and two Division crowns all to be decided on the final week of the AFFL fantasy regular season. The commissioner wanted parody, and it looks like that is exactly what he got. No team has established themselves as the clear favorite to win it all this year, and with a cluster of teams vying for position in the post-season, the AFFL has its most intense playoff race in years.
Will upstart HBK Shant Michaels, winner of five of the last six games, sneak his way into the into the playoffs? Will the emergence of Thomas Rawls carry BDiddy into the AFFL's sacred six team playoff? Who will win the Dolma and Mazoon divisions? Will Bomba fail to make the playoffs a second year in a row? These are just a few of the story lines that grip the AFFL week 13.
Sorting through the cluster can be a mess. Many teams have multiple scenarios that will get them into the playoffs. Below are those scenarios, along with odds of that team making the playoffs. Enjoy.
Team Scenarios
BDiddy
Loss and BDiddy is out.
Win and the following scenarios would get BDiddy in:
- Scenario 1 - Bdiddy outscores Jaj by 46.11
- Scenario 2 - Fails to outscore Jaj by 46.11. Bomba loses and BDiddy outscores Bomba by 26.33 and HBK loses or HBK wins and BDiddy also outscores HBK by 16.13
- Scenario 3 - Cobra kai loses and BDiddy outscores Cobra by 88.57
Odds of getting in: 15%
HBK Shant Michaels
Loss and HBK is out
Win and the following scenarios would get HBK in:
- Scenario 1 - Bomba loses and HBK outscores Bomba by 10.21 and BDiddy loses or BDiddy wins but fails to outscore HBK by 16.13
- Scenario 2 - Jaj loses and HBK outscores Jaj by 29.99
- Scenario 3 - Cobra kai loses and HBK outscores Cobra by 71.45
Odds of getting in: 15%
Atomic Bomba
Win and Bomba is in
Loss and the following scenarios would get Bomba in:
- Scenario 1 - HBK and BDiddy loss
- Scenario 2 - HBK loss and BDiddy wins but fails to outscore Bomba by 26.33
- Scenario 3 - BDiddy loss and HBK wins but fails to outscore Bomba by 10.13
- Scenario 4 - Jaj loss and Bomba outscores Jaj by 19.79
- Scenario 5 - Cobra loss and Bomba outscores Cobra by 59.25
Odds of getting in: 70%
Bomba would win the division with a win and a Hartan loss
Odds of winning division: 50%
Jaj Cousteau
Win and Jaj is in
Loss and the following scenarios would get Jaj in:
- Scenario 1 - HBK loss and BDiddy fails to outscore Jaj by 46.11
- Scenario 2 - HBK win, but fails to outscore Jaj by 29.99 and BDiddy win, but fails to outscore Jaj by 46.11 or Bomba loss and Bomba fails to outscore Jaj by 19.79
- Scenario 3 - Cobra loss and Jaj outscores Cobra by 41.47.
Odds of getting in: 75%
Cobra Kai
Win and Cobra is in
Loss and the following scenarios would get Cobra in:
- Scenario 1 - Would only miss playoffs if three of the four teams Bomba, HBK, Jaj, BDiddy win and outscore Cobra's current margin of victory. Highly unlikely.
Odds of getting in: 95%
Can win division with:
- Scenario 1 - Win and both Grabbers and Awesomeness lose.
Odds of winning division: 33%
Awesomeness
Clinched Playoff birth
Can win division with:
- Scenario 1 - Win and Grabbers loss
Odds of winning division: 25%
Grabbers
Clinched Playoff birth
Can win division with:
- Scenario 1 - Win
- Scenario 2 - Loss, and Awesomeness and Cobra Kai loss
Odds of winning division: 57%
Hartan
Clinched Playoff birth
Can win division with:
- Scenario 1 - Win
- Scenario 2 - Bomba Loss