AFFL Franchise Rankings: 2015 Edition
Raffi Lalazarian
Managers in the AFFL will often claim that, besides Bomba, their team deserves to be recognized as a "successful" franchise. They will profess that they draft exceptionally well, trade players at the perfect time, and if things went wrong, it was because of injuries and never about their managerial skills. Yeah. Sure.
But let's put the managers of these teams aside and just focus on results. Some managers can take a decrepit roster and make the most out of it. Others can ruin a perfectly good situation in the blink of an eye. Whichever the case may be, where they finish at seasons end builds up their franchise's value (or takes it down a notch). The more you win, the better your team's brand is. Rack up losses and sub-five-hundred seasons and those team jerseys wont exactly be flying off the shelves.
So how should we rank the AFFL brands? In this article, we'll attempt to rank each team's franchise based solely on their brand's value. We will take into consideration the end of the year finishes, lifetime record, as well as factor in some caveats such as number of years in the league and whether or not a team has a co-manager (the Prime Time rule) in order to determine which team names have the most impact in the league.
At the end of the day, it's all about what goes on the mantle. Teams aren't considered great because of a great trade here or there, or a how strong of a draft they had. It's about how many trophies you have to show for it. Those trophies or lack there of bolster or hinder a team's brand image, which correlates to the impact a team has on the league.
Let's get at it then. Your 2015 brand value ranking.
The Formula
We looked at every team and the place they finished at seasons end. We gave each place a point value then added those numbers together to render a team's composite place ranking. Top three finishes were weighed heavier than others. Here is a chart of the scale.
Basically, each top three finish is valued at a slightly better value than other playoff teams. Finishes that are not in the top six were weighed heavier than those that were.
Supposing that Team A finished in 3rd, 6th, 8th, and 2nd. They would would have a total place value of 18 (2 +6 +9 +1).
After gathering the average composite place of Team A, we then took the career winning percentage and converted that to a career win score. We did this by multiplying the lifetime career win percentage of a team into 13, the number of regular season games in any given year. This gave the team a career win mark placement.
Let's say Team A was 34-38 over their career, a 47% winning percentage. Multiplying .47 into 13 would give us 6.11. So Team A's career win mark would be 6.11. We did this with every team and created a career win standings, giving each team an overall place of finish. Once we had our standings, we took each place and converted it to a point value, just as we did earlier with their career finishes, and added it to their existing total. Lastly, we divided this number by the total years, plus one, they had been in the league. This gave us a value that included weight for career finishes as well as win/loss record.
We added all the points together and then divided by the number of years the team was in the league plus one.
Here is the formula
Total composite place mark(all places added by converted point value) + career win mark standing point value (win%x13 converted to point value)/ # of years in the league plus one.
The Parts
Below is a chart with each teams career place finishes, along with the total point value. Click on the image to make it larger.
After gathering the Composite place value, we took the career records of all teams in the AFFL and created standings based on career win percentage. We took the career win percentage and multiplied that into 13 to get a total career win mark. Playoff percentages were used to break ties, as well as total number of games played. The chart is below
Now, converting these ranks into points and adding them to the previous total and dividing by the number of years in the league plus one will give us an overall composite place that includes yearly finishes and career records.
Here is the final tally and rankings below.
The above chart shows some interesting facts about our teams. We notice immediately just how good Bomba and Prime Time have been against their peers. Their composite score makes them an odds on favorite to finish in the top 3/4 nearly every season. That is pretty amazing. Hartan and Jaj both rank next, each with different backgrounds. Hartan has been in the league more years, so they will get the benefit of being placed higher. Jaj has been just as good, but has done so in two less years. We have to consider that when assessing their composite 5th place finish. A few more years sample size on Jaj will make the picture clear.
Awesome and Cobra round out the teams that will consistently finish in or near the playoffs. Awesome has the lower win percentage, but has more titles than Cobra, so will be given that as a tie breaker. Cobra has managed a very strong showing in recent seasons, which has helped his cause greatly.
The bottom of the chart showcases teams that have relatively little success in the AFFL. Hangin' and Grabbers both have an average finish of 8/9th place, while Vosgee will finish near the bottom of the standings on most years. All three of these teams have made the playoffs but have rarely done much their, or much over a long period of time.
The interesting group is the middle group of HBK, Sev.i and Diddy, three teams that are sandwiched in among a 7th place composite. This essentially says that they are for the most part, fringe playoff teams, making the playoffs some seasons, and not the others. Their regular seasons can be anywhere from mediocre to good, just not exactly dominating.
Taking all this into consideration, we can now group the teams into tiers based upon the power of their teams name as it pertains to success. Just which team names pack the most punch and are associated with success the most? Find out below.
Here are the tiers for ranking the Franchises, starting from the bottom and working their way up.
The Floor (Tier 7)
Vosgee Gyank
Brand Image - Gotta learn to crawl before you can walk
There isn't much to say here. A whopping 11.5 composite score is very telling of how successful the Vosgee brand has been. Finishing on average at the bottom of the pack isn't something to celebrate. We don't know what Vosgee has to do to crawl back to the top, but victories need to come quick. They have all the makings of a great brand, just without the wins.
The Stool ( Tier 6)
Grabbers United and Hangin' and Bangin'
Brand image - Waiting for the excitement.. yup still waiting.
These two teams have had flashes of success over the years but haven't really put it together for long periods of time. Grabbers United has only recently turned the corner and made the playoffs in two of the last three seasons. The resume has one finals appearance so all is not lost. With a win in '15, they can make significant strides to move up into the next rung. We believe it is possible.
Hangin' has had a similar road as Grabbers. More playoff appearances than GU, but with less success in the postseason. Hangin' has plenty of woulda-coulda seasons, nearly winning the mazoon division one year, and failing to win playoff games the next. Their overall composite speaks to the lack of consistency at performing at a high level, rather than how bad they are. Still, there hasn't been much to get excited about with team Bangin'. We're waiting to hear it. As are they
The Swivel Chair (Tier 5)
HBK, Magnum Sev.i & BDiddy
Brand Image - Flirted with success, but always seems just out of reach.
All three teams in this tier have tasted success at different times, but have left true glory just out of reach. They have all had successful moments in the playoffs and at times had many believing they could win it all. Alas, it was not to be.
HBK had a long period of playoff-less seasons that severely hurt the teams brand. Up until recently, HBK was thought of as a pretender, a franchise that was more a paper tiger than a true lion. However, with a few fourth place finishes in the past few years, the team seems to building up momentum to jump to tier 4. They'll need to win a title under the HBK brand before they can have a seat at the head table.
Magnum Sev.i was one of only a few teams that made the finals, and only one of two that made the finals in their first season. Despite the early success, the franchise hasn't much to show in the way of success. The regular season record has sputtered down to average, and without much definition as to what exactly the franchise is all about, we are still waiting for team stache' to wow us with yearly production. The team will have to win in multiple years and not take time off.
BDiddy has been sporadic with their success. They have managed to be one of only a few teams that have finished in the top three in three consecutive seasons. Despite the top three finish, they haven't had the consistency to leave their mark on the league. They are like a water fountain that goes flat just when you are about to take a drink. We're waiting for the stream to be consistently strong year-in and year-out.
The Rocking Chair (Tier 4)
Cobra Kai & Jaj Cousteau
Brand Image - Sitting on the porch of success, about to come into the main room.
We now enter the winners lists, where the champion brands live. Two of the more recent champions have managed to crawl their way into the top half of the league.
Cobra Kai endured many years of mediocrity and finishing near the bottom only to have an evolution of sorts the last few years. With a title under their belt and a third place finish, Cobra has changed their franchises value in a short amount of time. While the team name now has "top tier" associated with it, there is still much room to improve. In order for the league and their critics to forget about the many years of hardship, the Kai would be wise to finish in the playoffs again for the third year in-a-row. If he does, he may soon be considered elite.
Jaj Cousteau is perhaps the one team that nobody likes to play. They have managed to brand their team as a winner quicker than any other team. Over the past six seasons that the team has been in the league, Cousteau has an impressive resume: A championship, four of six playoff appearances. It's a small sample size, so we cannot give the current champ a key to the main mess hall just yet. However, there is no doubt that the name "Jaj" is now synonymous with winner.
The Living Room Recliner (Tier 3)
Hartan
Brand Image - Store front items. Really nice. Shiny. But have lost a little bit of luster.
Are these two teams elite? Well it almost seems like they should be, but they've relaxed a bit on their way to the top. Both the squads in this tier have had their fair share of success, but are here for entirely different reasons.
Hartan is the '07 AFFL champion, something that many don't really associate with the team. They have managed to slowly but surely fade into the background of the league despite being one of the few teams that can claim to be an AFFL Champion. Hartan has been consistent in all their years in the league, either consistently mediocre or consistently good. They just haven't been great for an extend long time. By great we mean winning another title. They have tasted success in the playoffs many times, but have yet win a second title to let everyone know they have arrived. They don't have the shine that the teams above them have, and their brand is one that seems to be one that is really really really good. Just not great. Plus, we have to down grade them for having two managers. It's only fair.
The Main Table (Tier 2)
Prime Time and Awesomeness.
Brand Image - Success unlike other teams, despite some blemishes.
In this tier we have two teams that have had much success over the past years, but have lost a little bit of shine along the way.
Awesomeness was once a king in the AFFL. Exploding onto the scene in '08, the team managed to tear apart both divisions on their way to three straight finals; coming away with back-to-back titles in '09-'10. Despite doing what only one other team has ever done, win two championships, the team's brand has lost its shine with horrendous finishes in three of the last four years. There is still a remembrance of the glory years when you think of Awesomeness, so the name hasn't completely evaporated into obscurity, however, if the team doesn't turn the losing seasons around, it may find those glory years to be buried in the veils of time for good.
Prime Time has been one of the most successful managers in the league. Their resume is ridiculous. The team has managed to finish in the top three in six of nine seasons. Wow. Talk about scary good. That kind of consistent winning is impossible to come by. Thanks to their winning ways, it has almost been ingrained into the minds of others around the league that the Prime Time brand will indeed make the playoffs. However, their success is like a sundae without a cherry on top: no title makes their brand incomplete. Like an uncomfortable erection, Prime Time comes strong, but gets hurt in the end. Just one title will catapult Prime Time's brand into a tier all their own.
The Throne (Tier 1)
Atomic Bomba
Brand Image - With success comes the inevitable task of having to protect the throne.
It is of no surprise that the top tier features a franchise that has epitomized over the past nine seasons like no other. Six of Nine seasons have found the Atomic Bomba finish in 1st or 2nd place. That is worth repeating. Over nine seasons, the Bomba has finished in the top two six times, with a back-to-back title thrown in. The teams career win percentage ranks number one, and despite not making the playoffs last season, they still carry the reminder of all the years of success very strongly. The Bomba brand is associated with winning and we don't see that changing anytime soon. Either the rest of the league will need to catch up to the four titles the Bomba brand has claimed, or their will have to be a serious drought as it pertains to winning in the coming ten years. Expect the throne to be occupied for a little longer. The real question is.. will there be company coming soon? Hmmm..